基于深度学习的地下电缆早期故障预测与状态监测

    Early Fault Prediction and Condition Monitoring of Underground Cables Based on Deep Learning

    • 摘要: 传统监测方法在实时性、准确性和早期预警能力方面存在明显不足,难以有效应对地下电缆运行环境的复杂性。针对地下电缆早期故障预测的挑战,文中提出一种物理增强的结合卷积神经网络(convolutional neural network,CNN)和长短期记忆网络(long short-term memory,LSTM)的深度学习架构(记为CNN-LSTM),通过分析电缆振动信号实现早期故障的实时监测与预警。首先,深入分析电缆振动信号的物理特性,将电缆机械动力学先验知识嵌入深度学习模型中,构建了一个融合卷积神经网络特征提取和长短期记忆网络时序建模能力的混合模型,搭建地下电缆模拟平台,再通过支持向量机(support vector machine,SVM)、随机森林、CNN、LSTM、CNN-LSTM、CNN-LSTM与注意力机制、物理信息神经网络(physics-informed neural network,PINN)、物理信息卷积神经网络(physics-informed convolutional neural network,PhyCNN)、物理增强CNN-LSTM等不同模型对比试验分析。结果表明,物理增强CNN-LSTM模型对6类典型电缆故障的平均识别准确率可达96.8%,较传统CNN-LSTM模型提升7.2%;同时,虚警率降低至2.1%。此外,通过引入物理约束损失函数,模型在少量样本场景下的泛化能力显著提升,可为地下电缆的预测性维护提供可靠的技术支撑。

       

      Abstract: Traditional monitoring methods have obvious deficiencies in real-time performance, accuracy, and early warning capability, making it difficult to effectively cope with the complexity of the underground cable operating environment. To address the challenges of early fault prediction for underground cables, this paper proposes a physics-enhanced CNN-LSTM deep learning architecture, which realizes real-time monitoring and early warning of early faults by analyzing cable vibration signals. First, the physical characteristics of cable vibration signals are analyzed in depth, and the prior knowledge of cable mechanical dynamics is embedded into the deep learning model to construct a hybrid model integrating the feature extraction capability of convolutional neural networks (CNN) and the temporal modeling capability of long short-term memory (LSTM) networks. An underground cable simulation platform is built, and comparative experimental analysis is conducted through different models such as SVM, Random Forest, CNN, LSTM, CNN-LSTM, CNN-LSTM+Attention, PINN, PhyCNN, and physics-enhanced CNN-LSTM. The results show that the average recognition accuracy of the physics-enhanced CNN-LSTM model for six types of typical cable faults reaches 96.8%, which is 7.2% higher than that of the traditional CNN-LSTM model, and the false alarm rate is reduced to 2.1%. In addition, by introducing a physics-constrained loss function, the generalization ability of the model in scenarios with a small number of samples is significantly improved, providing an effective technical approach for the predictive maintenance of underground cables.

       

    • ©上海电缆研究所有限公司《电线电缆》编辑部版权所有,未经授权不得转载、改编。

    /

    返回文章
    返回